Author: The Basics Guide
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Moral Hazard
Moral hazard refers to situations where a party takes on riskier behavior because they’re shielded from the consequences. It often occurs in insurance, finance, and healthcare, potentially leading to market inefficiencies and higher costs. Strategies exist to mitigate it.
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Type 1 and Type 2 Errors
In statistics, Type 1 and Type 2 errors relate to inaccurate conclusions in tests. Type 1 is a false positive, rejecting a true idea, while Type 2 is a false negative, accepting a false idea. Balancing these errors is essential for valid study results.
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Null Hypothesis
In statistical hypothesis testing, the null hypothesis asserts a lack of effect and serves as a baseline for evaluation. Specific tests are employed to assess evidence, leading to either the rejection or the failure to reject this initial assumption. This methodology is pivotal in both scientific inquiry and rational decision-making.
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Principal-Agent Problem
The Principal-Agent Problem occurs when a person (the principal) hires someone else (the agent) to act for them, but the agent may not always act in the principal’s best interest due to differing information or motives. Solutions involve creating better incentives and transparency.
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Steel-manning
Steel-manning is a debate technique where one strengthens an opposing argument before addressing it, promoting understanding and intellectual honesty. It enhances critical thinking and encourages productive debate, though it can unintentionally amplify harmful ideas.
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Decision Tree
A Decision Tree is a graphical tool used to map complex decision-making processes, showcasing different paths and their outcomes. It’s useful for handling uncertainty, risk analysis, and sequential decisions, but can be complicated or misleading if not used properly.